Gold Prices Soar to Record Highs Amid Trade Tensions and Potential Rate Cuts
Novosibirsk, Russia โ September 15, 2023
In a striking development for global financial markets, gold has surged to an all-time high, hitting $2,993.80 per ounce on Friday, March 14, 2023. This upward trajectory has been fueled by a combination of rising trade war fears and expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve may soon lower interest rates.
As of 08:47 GMT, the price of spot gold was stable at $2,990.54 per ounce, reflecting the volatile nature of the market. Meanwhile, U.S. gold futures rose by 0.4% to reach $3,004.20, further emphasizing the robust demand for this safe-haven asset. The year 2023 has already seen gold scale to record heights on thirteen occasions, and it is on track to post gains for the second consecutive week.
Nitesh Shah, a commodities strategist at WisdomTree, underscored the current sentiment surrounding gold, stating, โRisk is a bit more to the upside because sentiment towards gold is currently strong and could remain if this chaotic policy-making continues.โ This analysis points to the growing unease amongst investors as geopolitical tensions and market instabilities continue to unfold.
Impact of Trade Tariffs on Gold Demand
The escalating trade war initiated by U.S. President Donald Trump has played a significant role in the spike in goldโs demand. On March 13, Trump threatened to impose a staggering 200% tariff on imports of wine and spirits from Europe, a move that has intensified concerns over a broader economic fallout.
Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, highlighted that the momentum and haven demand spurred by these developments have contributed to a marked increase in Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) holdings of gold, further supporting its price. The SPDR Gold Trust, the largest gold-backed ETF in the world, reported its holdings at 905.81 metric tonsโ achieving the highest level since August 2023. Interest Rate Expectations and Economic Indicators
Recent economic data indicating a cooling of consumer prices has led many analysts to speculate that the Fed may consider cutting interest rates later this year. The Fedโs next meeting is scheduled for Wednesday, with expectations leaning towards maintaining the current benchmark interest rate, although some traders predict a potential rate cut in June.
Analysts at ANZ remain optimistic, projecting that gold prices could reach a new record high of $3,050 per ounce by 2025, as long as current trends persist. Given the strengthening gold market, investors are closely monitoring policy decisions and economic indicators.
In addition to gold, other precious metals have experienced fluctuating prices: spot silver saw a 0.5% increase to $33.96 per ounce, while platinum dipped 0.2% to $992.15, and palladium gained 1% to settle at $967.42. As global economic uncertainties persist, the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset appears to be stronger than ever, reflecting investor sentiments and potential shifts in monetary policy.
Reporting by Rahul Paswan and Sarah Qureshi in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh Kuber
These reports adhere to the Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.