XRP Under Pressure: Navigating SEC Appeals and ETF Hopes Amid Price Fluctuations

Ripple’s Absence from Crypto Task Force Raises Questions Amid Regulatory Silence

In recent developments, Ripple Labs has not been listed among the participants in the Crypto Task Force meetings, the latest of which has been updated to March 6. This absence raises concerns regarding the ongoing discussions between Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), particularly in the context of active settlement negotiations. Despite a growing sense of optimism in the cryptocurrency market, the SEC has remained notably silent on the status of the Ripple case, contributing to the current performance of XRP, which remains significantly below its all-time high of $3.5505 reached previously in the market.

XRP Price Trends: Attention on SEC Appeal and Potential ETF Developments

As Ripple navigates through these challenges, the price trajectory of XRP is closely tied to two pivotal factors: the SEC’s strategy for its ongoing appeal and the potential approval of XRP-spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

With the departure of SEC Chair Gary Gensler and a broader restructuring within the agency, market watchers continue to wait for indications of how the SEC will proceed regarding its appeal against the previous court’s decision favoring Ripple. This lack of clear communication has left investors in a state of uncertainty.

Bullish Scenario: Potential Price Surge

If the SEC decides to withdraw its appeal, analysts project that XRP could experience a significant surge, potentially surpassing its previous all-time high of $3.5505. Additionally, the approval of XRP-spot ETFs could attract increased institutional demand, which may further elevate XRP prices, possibly aiming for a target of $5. #### Bearish Scenario: Risk of a Price Drop

Conversely, if the SEC advances with its appeal and opts to reject applications for XRP-spot ETFs, the cryptocurrency could face a downward spiral, potentially dipping below the critical support level of $1.50. ### Current XRP Price Action and Technical Analysis

As for XRP’s current price action, the daily trading charts show that despite a recent five-day winning streak, the cryptocurrency remains trading below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating persistent resistance. However, it has maintained its position above the 200-day EMA, suggesting that there is a semblance of long-term support underneath the current price.

Should XRP manage to break above the 50-day EMA, traders may set their sights on the March 2 high of $3.0153 as the next resistance level. A successful return to that level could set the stage for an ascent toward the January 16 high of $3.3999. Positive developments in the Ripple legal situation could propel XRP closer to its all-time high.

On the flip side, if XRP experiences a drop below the support level of $1.9299 and the pivotal 200-day EMA, the cryptocurrency could then trend toward the February 3 low of $1.7024 as the next significant downside target.

Market Sentiment and Relative Strength Index

As it stands, XRP’s 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading is at 49.68, indicating that while there is potential for further price action, a dip below the 200-day EMA could push it toward oversold conditions (RSI below 30), complicating prospects for a rebound.

As the market remains vigilant, the developments surrounding Ripple and the SEC are set to play a crucial role in guiding XRP’s price movements in the near future. Investors and analysts alike are awaiting clear signals from the regulatory body to ascertain the next steps for the cryptocurrency.